Sales forecasting sets out targets for overall sales for products and is a goal for the firm to achieve
It influences other decisions:
- Production schedule
- Cash flow forecast
- Human resources decisions
Producing a Sales Forecast
- It may be based on historical / back data
- The firm can use market research to try and identify likely future trends
- It may be based on the firms best guess
- Nature of the forecast depends on nature of the firms product and the market situation
Problems with forecasts
- Customer-buying behaviour suddenly changes
- Original market research was poor
- The experts got it wrong
Reliability of forecasts
Forecasts are most likely to be correct when:
- Trend has been extrapolated and market conditions continued as before
- Test market is used and represents entire population
- Forecast is made by experts
- Firm is forecasting in the near future